Farm Foreclosures in the United States During the Interwar Period

Author:

Alston Lee J.

Abstract

Farm foreclosures in the United States during the 1920s and 1930s reached heights never previously or since exceeded. In this paper hypotheses are proposed and tested to account for the cross-state variation in farm foreclosures during the interwar period. Foreclosures are modeled to depend on depressed farm earnings throughout the 1920s and 1930s, optimistic agricultural expansion brought on by World War I, and cross-state variation in mortgage debt structure. The empirical results are consistent with the proposed multiple causal model.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous),Economics and Econometrics,History

Reference45 articles.

1. Johnson, “Postwar Optimism,” p. 184.

2. As discussed earlier, urbanization most likely captures other influences as well as the opportunity for off-farm earnings. Considering the results presented here, further research is needed to determine more precisely the stabilizing effect of urban areas.

3. When either Percent Farms Mortgaged or Debt/Value is dropped from the regression equation the other variable is highly significant with the correct sign.

4. When the log-log functional form is estimated, the coefficient of Debt/Value becomes significant while the t-ratio of Percent Farms Mortgaged falls to t = 1.44.

5. The estimates do not differ substantively when the log-log functional form is specified. The coefficient of Land Value becomes significant at the 95 percent confidence level. In three states— Arizona, New Mexico, and Wyoming—improved acreage increased by over 1,000 percent. To test whether the estimates in Table 3 are sensitive to these outliers, I estimated the parameters of equation (1) with the above states deleted from the sample. R2 goes up to .69. The coefficient on Land Value becomes more significant and t-ratio on Improved Acreage falls to 1.95. None of the other estimates is affected significantly.

Cited by 63 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3