Greenback-Gold Returns and Expectations of Resumption, 1862–1879

Author:

Smith Gregor W.,Smith R. Todd

Abstract

This article proposes a unified framework for studying the greenback-gold price during the U.S. suspension of convertibility from 1862 to 1879.The gold price is viewed as a floating exchange rate, with a fixed destination given by gold standard parity because of the prospect of resumption. This perspective is tested using daily data for the entire period, and the effect of news during and after the Civil War is measured. New evidence of a decline in the volatility of gold returns after the Resumption Act of 1875 provides statistical support for the importance of expectations of resumption.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous),Economics and Econometrics,History

Reference32 articles.

1. Interest Rates and Price Expectations During the Civil War;Roll;JOURNAL,1972

2. Stochastic Process Switching and the Return to Gold, 1925

3. The Greenbacks and Resumption of Specie Payments, 1862–1879

4. Foreign Interest Rates in American Financial Markets: A Revised Series of Dollar-Sterling Exchange Rates, 1835–1900;Perkins;JOURNAL,1978

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