Risk factors for ≥high-grade anal intraepithelial lesions in MSM living with HIV and the response to topical and surgical treatments

Abstract

Background The objective of this study in MSM living with HIV was to determine the incidence of HSIL and ASCC, related factors, and the response to treatment. Patients and methods Data were gathered in 405 consecutive HIV-infected MSM (May 2010-December 2018) at baseline and annually on: sexual behavior, anal cytology, and HPV PCR and/or high-resolution anoscopy results. They could choose mucosectomy with electric scalpel (from May 2010) or self-administration of 5% imiquimod 3 times weekly for 16 weeks (from November 2013). A multivariate logistic regression model was developed for ≥HSIL-related factors using a step-wise approach to select variables, with a significance level of 0.05 for entry and 0.10 for exit, applying the Hosmer-Lemeshow test to assess the goodness of fit. Results The study included 405 patients with a mean age of 36.2 years; 56.7% had bachelor´s degree, and 52.8% were smokers. They had a mean of 1 (IQR 1–7) sexual partner in the previous 12 months, median time since HIV diagnosis of 2 years, and mean CD4 nadir of 367.9 cells/uL; 86.7% were receiving ART, the mean CD4 level was 689.6 cells/uL, mean CD4/CD8 ratio was 0.77, and 85.9% of patients were undetectable. Incidence rates were 30.86/1,000 patient-years for ≥high squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) and 81.22/100,000 for anal squamous cell carcinoma (ASCC). The ≥HSIL incidence significantly decreased from 42.9% (9/21) in 2010 to 4.1% (10/254) in 2018 (p = 0.034). ≥HSIL risk factors were infection with HPV 11 (OR 3.81; 95%CI 1.76–8.24), HPV 16 (OR 2.69, 95%CI 1.22–5.99), HPV 18 (OR 2.73, 95%CI 1.01–7.36), HPV 53 (OR 2.97, 95%CI 1.002–8.79); HPV 61 (OR 11.88, 95%CI 3.67–38.53); HPV 68 (OR 2.44, CI 95% 1.03–5.8); low CD4 nadir (OR1.002; 95%CI 1–1.004) and history of AIDS (OR 2.373, CI 95% 1.009–5.577). Among HSIL-positive patients, the response rate was higher after imiquimod than after surgical excision (96.7% vs 73.3%, p = 0.009) and there were fewer re-treatments (2.7% vs 23.4%, p = 0.02) and adverse events (2.7% vs 100%, p = 0.046); none developed ASCC. Conclusions HSIL screening and treatment programs reduce the incidence of HSIL, which is related to chronic HPV infection and poor immunological status. Self-administration of 5% imiquimod as first-line treatment of HSIL is more effective than surgery in HIV+ MSM.