Human error risk prioritization in crane operations based on CPT and ICWGT

Abstract

Human error plays a significant role in crane safety. To increase the accuracy and rationality of human error risk prioritization for crane operations, this study proposes a risk prioritization model for human errors in crane operations based on the cumulative prospect theory (CPT) and the improved combination weighting model of game theory (ICWGT). The ICWGT integrates the risk-factor weights obtained via subjective and objective methods. Trapezoidal fuzzy numbers are used to describe experts’ uncertainty information. Then, the CPT is applied to handle the assessment of experts’ risk attitudes in the decision process. The human error risk ranking of crane operations is obtained according to the overall prospect values calculated using the CPT. A case study of human error in overhead crane operations was conducted, and sensitivity and comparison analyses confirmed the feasibility of the proposed model. The proposed ranking mechanism for human error risk priority in crane operations is helpful for crane risk management.