Improved objective Bayesian estimator for a PLP model hierarchically represented subject to competing risks under minimal repair regime

Author:

Louzada Francisco,Cuminato José A.,Rodriguez Oscar M. H.,Tomazella Vera L. D.ORCID,Ferreira Paulo H.,Ramos Pedro L.,Milani Eder A.,Bochio Gustavo,Perissini Ivan C.,Gonzatto Junior Oilson A.ORCID,Mota Alex L.ORCID,Alegría Luis F. A.,Colombo Danilo,Perondi Eduardo A.,Wentz André V.,Júnior Anselmo L. Silva,Barone Dante A. C.,Santos Hugo F. L.,Magalhães Marcus V. C.

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a hierarchical statistical model for a single repairable system subject to several failure modes (competing risks). The paper describes how complex engineered systems may be modelled hierarchically by use of Bayesian methods. It is also assumed that repairs are minimal and each failure mode has a power-law intensity. Our proposed model generalizes another one already presented in the literature and continues the study initiated by us in another published paper. Some properties of the new model are discussed. We conduct statistical inference under an objective Bayesian framework. A simulation study is carried out to investigate the efficiency of the proposed methods. Finally, our methodology is illustrated by two practical situations currently addressed in a project under development arising from a partnership between Petrobras and six research institutes.

Publisher

Public Library of Science (PLoS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference31 articles.

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2. M. P. Almeida, “Statistical inference for non-homogeneous poisson process with competing risks: a repairable systems approach under power-law process,” Ph.D. dissertation, Universidade de São Paulo.

3. A modelling approach to optimal imperfect maintenance of repairable equipment with multiple failure modes,;R. Mullor;Computers & Industrial Engineering,2019

4. Alternative scales in reliability models for a repairable system;A. Syamsundar;Reliability Engineering & System Safety,2020

5. T. Yan, “Nonhomogeneous poisson process models with a generalized bathtub intensity function for repairable systems,” Ph.D. dissertation, Ohio University, 2019.

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