Predictive modeling of lean body mass, appendicular lean mass, and appendicular skeletal muscle mass using machine learning techniques: A comprehensive analysis utilizing NHANES data and the Look AHEAD study

Abstract

This study addresses the pressing need for improved methods to predict lean mass in adults, and in particular lean body mass (LBM), appendicular lean mass (ALM), and appendicular skeletal muscle mass (ASMM) for the early detection and management of sarcopenia, a condition characterized by muscle loss and dysfunction. Sarcopenia presents significant health risks, especially in populations with chronic diseases like cancer and the elderly. Current assessment methods, primarily relying on Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans, lack widespread applicability, hindering timely intervention. Leveraging machine learning techniques, this research aimed to develop and validate predictive models using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and the Action for Health in Diabetes (Look AHEAD) study. The models were trained on anthropometric data, demographic factors, and DXA-derived metrics to accurately estimate LBM, ALM, and ASMM normalized to weight. Results demonstrated consistent performance across various machine learning algorithms, with LassoNet, a non-linear extension of the popular LASSO method, exhibiting superior predictive accuracy. Notably, the integration of bone mineral density measurements into the models had minimal impact on predictive accuracy, suggesting potential alternatives to DXA scans for lean mass assessment in the general population. Despite the robustness of the models, limitations include the absence of outcome measures and cohorts highly vulnerable to muscle mass loss. Nonetheless, these findings hold promise for revolutionizing lean mass assessment paradigms, offering implications for chronic disease management and personalized health interventions. Future research endeavors should focus on validating these models in diverse populations and addressing clinical complexities to enhance prediction accuracy and clinical utility in managing sarcopenia.