Drivers of domestic migration in Vietnam: The characteristics of the households and their heads, environmental factors and living conditions

Abstract

Vietnam has achieved significant economic growth, poverty reduction, and social transformation since its 1986 major economic reform. However, industrialization, a key pillar supporting this achievement, has resulted in massive domestic migration from certain parts of the country into industrialized provinces mainly located in the south of Vietnam, leading to various challenges for society. This study investigates the effects of the characteristics of Vietnamese households and their heads, environmental factors, and living conditions of the households in the regions where they have decided to leave behind for a migration decision on domestic migration. Our study also compares the migration trends in the past decade using the Vietnamese Household Living Standard Surveys (VHLSS) in 2010 and 2020, together with a logit model. We find that the average probability that a household and their members migrate is about 10 per cent in 2010, reduced to approximately 6.8 per cent in 2020. Our empirical findings also confirm that a migration decision is strongly associated with the characteristics of the households and their heads, particularly for the household size and the educational level of the household head. The average radiation and rainfall are also associated with a migration decision. Weather temperature, water sources, and electricity supply also play an essential role in Vietnamese households’ migration decisions. Policy implications have emerged based on these empirical findings that the Vietnamese government should consider.