Comprehensive approaches for assessing extinction risk of endangered tropical pitcher plant Nepenthes talangensis

Abstract

It has been 23 years since the conservation status of highland tropical pitcher plantNepenthes talangensiswas assessed in 2000. A number of existing threats (anthropogenic and environmental) may be increasing the risk of extinction for the species. A better understanding of the ecology and conservation needs of the species is required to manage the wild populations. Specifically, better information related to population distributions, ecological requirements, priority conservation areas, the impact of future climate on suitable habitat, and current population structure is needed to properly assess extinction risks. A better understanding of the requirements of the species in its natural habitat would benefit for successfully securing the species at Botanic Gardens. We have identified 14 new occurrence records ofN.talangensisin Mount Talang. Study on the ecological requirement using Random Forest (RF) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) suggested that elevation, canopy cover, soil pH, and slope are four important variables. The population ofN.talangensiswas dominated by juvenile and mature (sterile) individuals, we found only a few mature males (7 individuals) and females (4 individuals) in the sampled areas. Our modelling of current conditions predicted that there were 1,076 ha of suitable habitat to very highly suitable habitat in Mount Talang, which is 14.7% of the total area. Those predicted habitats ranged in elevation from 1,740–2,558 m. Suitable habitat in 2100 was predicted to decrease in extent and be at higher elevation in the less extreme climate change scenario (SSP 1–2.6) and extreme climate change scenario (SSP 5–8.5). We projected larger habitat loss in the SSP 5–8.5 compared to the SSP 1–2.6 climate change scenario.. We proposed the category CR B1ab(iii,v), C2a(ii) as the new conservation status ofN.talangensis. The status is a higher category of threat compared to the current status of the species (EN C2b, ver 2.3).Nepenthes talangensisseedlings and cuttings established in a Botanic Garden have relatively high survival rate at about 83.4%. Sixty percent of the seeds germinated in growth media successfully grew to become seedlings.