Spatial-temporal analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis in Hubei Province, China, 2011–2021

Author:

Zhang YuORCID,Ye Jianjun,Hou Shuangyi,Lu Xingxing,Yang Chengfeng,Pi Qi,Zhang Mengxian,Liu Xun,Da Qin,Zhou LipingORCID

Abstract

Background Pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) is an infectious disease of major public health problem, China is one of the PTB high burden counties in the word. Hubei is one of the provinces having the highest notification rate of tuberculosis in China. This study analyzed the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of PTB in Hubei province for targeted intervention on TB epidemics. Methods The data on PTB cases were extracted from the National Tuberculosis Information Management System correspond to population in 103 counties of Hubei Province from 2011 to 2021. The effect of PTB control was measured by variation trend of bacteriologically confirmed PTB notification rate and total PTB notification rate. Time series, spatial autonomic correlation and spatial-temporal scanning methods were used to identify the temporal trends and spatial patterns at county level of Hubei. Results A total of 436,955 cases were included in this study. The total PTB notification rate decreased significantly from 81.66 per 100,000 population in 2011 to 52.25 per 100,000 population in 2021. The peak of PTB notification occurred in late spring and early summer annually. This disease was spatially clustering with Global Moran’s I values ranged from 0.34 to 0.63 (P< 0.01). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated that the hot spots are mainly distributed in the southwest and southeast of Hubei Province. Using the SaTScan 10.0.2 software, results from the staged spatial-temporal analysis identified sixteen clusters. Conclusions This study identified seasonal patterns and spatial-temporal clusters of PTB cases in Hubei province. High-risk areas in southwestern Hubei still exist, and need to focus on and take targeted control and prevention measures.

Funder

the National Special Science and Technology Project for Major Infectious Diseases of China

Publisher

Public Library of Science (PLoS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference44 articles.

1. Sustainable Development Goals | United Nations Development Programme. In: UNDP [Internet]. Available from: https://www.undp.org/sustainable-development-goals Accessed 6 Apr 2022.

2. Hubei Provincial People’s Government. Notice of General Office of Hubei Provincial People’s Government on printing and distributing Hubei Twelfth Five-Year Plan for tuberculosis control and prevention. Available from: http://www.hubei.gov.cn/zfwj/ezbf/201207/t20120718_1713095.shtml Accessed 6 Apr 2022.

3. Hubei Provincial People’s Government. Notice of General Office of Hubei Provincial People’s Government on printing and distributing Hubei Thirteenth Five-Year Plan for tuberculosis control and prevention. Available from: http://www.hubei.gov.cn/zfwj/ezbf/201712/t20171208_1713488.shtml Accessed 6 Apr 2022.

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3