Performance of CHIRPS for estimating precipitation extremes in the Wala Basin, Jordan

Abstract

Abstract The evaluation of open-source precipitation data is crucial to enable the selection of the most appropriate product for a specific research. This study aims to evaluate the capability of the Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) with a spatial resolution of 0.05° for estimating monthly and annual precipitation in the Wala basin, Jordan, from 1987 to 2017 using a point-to-pixel comparison approach. Eleven precipitation extreme indices, recommended by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI), were used in this study. The findings show that CHIRPS correlated moderately with stations in monthly precipitation estimation, with the Pearson correlation coefficient values ranging from 0.50 to 0.73. However, CHIRPS had low correlations with stations in most of the extreme indices, except PRCPTOT, R10mm, and R20mm. The CHIRPS, particularly in the extreme years, overestimated low precipitation amounts and underestimated high ones. Moreover, CHIRPS underestimated the calculation of consecutive dry days, consecutive wet days, R10mm, R20mm, and R30mm, while an overestimation was found for the R95p, R99p, and Rx1day. The trend analysis and Wilcox text showed a lack of resemblance between the CHIRPS and gauges, showing a bias correction is needed before applying an extreme analysis in this region.