Extension and refinement of a stochastic modelling approach to assess ice-jam flood hazard

Author:

Lindenschmidt Karl-Erich1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. 1 Global Institute for Water Security, School of Environment and Sustainability, University of Saskatchewan, 11 Innovation Boulevard, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7N 3H5, Canada

Abstract

Abstract In the spring of 2020, the town of Fort McMurray, which lies on the banks of the Athabasca River, experienced an ice-jam flood event that was the most severe in approximately 60 years. In order to capture the severity of the event, a stochastic modelling approach, previously developed by the author for ice-jam flood forecasting, has been refined for ice-jam flood hazard and risk assessments and ice-jam mitigation feasibility studies, which is the subject of this paper. Scenarios of artificial breakage demonstrate the applicability of the revised modelling framework.

Funder

Global Water Futures

Publisher

IWA Publishing

Subject

Water Science and Technology

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