Climatic teleconnection of the future trend of meteorological, GRACE-DSI, and vegetation-conditioned-based drought analysis in the Ganga Basin

Author:

Hasan Mohd Sayeed Ul12,Akhtar Nadeem2,Rai Abhishek Kumar1,Amir Khan Mohd3,Alfaisal Faisal M.4,Alharbi Raied Saad4,Hashim Khalid S.5

Affiliation:

1. a Centre for Oceans, Rivers, Atmosphere and Land Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal 721302, India

2. b Department of Civil Engineering, Aliah University, New Town, Kolkata 7000160, India

3. c Department of Civil Engineering, Galgotias College of Engineering, Knowledge Park I, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh 201310, India

4. d Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, Saudi Arabia

5. e School of Civil Engineering and Built Environment, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool L3 3AF, UK

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study assesses drought in the Ganga River Basin using standard precipitation index (SPI), Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Drought Severity Index (GRACE-DSI), and vegetation condition index (VCI) via geographic information system (GIS) and non-parametric tests. Future SPI trends show increasing drought severity from 1986 to 2020. GRACE-DSI analysis (2002–2020) indicates a potential rise in drought conditions. VCI computations reveal vegetation health dynamics. Findings suggest an impending severe drought in the Ganga Basin, necessitating urgent water resource management. Drought causes are linked to precipitation changes and resource over-exploitation in changing climate conditions. The study emphasizes implementing measures like water conservation, sustainable land use, and groundwater recharge strategies to mitigate drought impacts.

Funder

King Saud University

Publisher

IWA Publishing

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