Integrated multi-objective chance-constrained fuzzy interval linear programming model with principal component analysis for optimizing agricultural water resource management under uncertainties

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study addresses the pivotal challenge of water resource allocation in urban environments by introducing a novel approach – a multi-objective chance-constrained fuzzy interval linear programming model integrated with principal component analysis (PCA). This innovative model aims to alleviate subjectivity in urban water management processes, particularly in adjusting water demands across various sectors. The proposed model incorporates correlation analysis to identify dimensionality-reducing factors of multitarget components, determining the proportion of each target component relative to the total components. Fuzzy sets are applied to irrigation water resource allocation quantity, segmented into six levels of fuzzy membership to analyze the stochasticity of water supply. Results demonstrate the model's efficacy, revealing that variations in risk probabilities impact water supply, necessitating positive water management strategies to enhance agricultural efficiency and negative strategies to mitigate the risk of inadequate water supply. Key findings emphasize the significance of agricultural water availability and the structure of irrigation water use in optimal resource allocation. Importantly, the study showcases the enhanced precision achieved through the proposed multi-objective chance-constrained fuzzy interval linear programming with PCA, thereby refining the optimization outcomes for water management under multifaceted objectives.