1. These authors contributed equally to this work
2. WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
3. Division of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
4. Department of Epidemiology and Statistics, Public Health School, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
5. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
6. These authors are joint senior authors
7. School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China