Strong associations and moderate predictive value of early symptoms for SARS-CoV-2 test positivity among healthcare workers, the Netherlands, March 2020

Author:

Tostmann Alma1,Bradley John2,Bousema Teun31,Yiek Wing-Kee1,Holwerda Minke1,Bleeker-Rovers Chantal4,ten Oever Jaap4,Meijer Corianne1,Rahamat-Langendoen Janette1,Hopman Joost1,van der Geest-Blankert Nannet5,Wertheim Heiman1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Medical Microbiology, Radboud Centre for Infectious Diseases, Radboud university medical centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

2. MRC Tropical Epidemiology Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

3. Department of Infection and Immunity, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

4. Department of Internal Medicine, Radboud Centre for Infectious Diseases, Radboud university medical centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

5. Department of Occupational Health, Radboud university medical centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands

Abstract

Healthcare workers (n = 803) with mild symptoms were tested for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) (n = 90 positive) and asked to complete a symptom questionnaire. Anosmia, muscle ache, ocular pain, general malaise, headache, extreme tiredness and fever were associated with positivity. A predictive model based on these symptoms showed moderate discriminative value (sensitivity: 91.2%; specificity: 55.6%). While our models would not justify presumptive SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis without molecular confirmation, it can contribute to targeted screening strategies.

Publisher

European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

Subject

Virology,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Epidemiology

Reference9 articles.

1. Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso.;Tibshirani;J R Stat Soc B,1996

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