Using rapid point-of-care tests to inform antibiotic choice to mitigate drug resistance in gonorrhoea

Author:

Vegvari Carolin1ORCID,Grad Yonatan H23,White Peter J451,Didelot Xavier651,Whittles Lilith K51,Scangarella-Oman Nicole E7ORCID,Mitrani-Gold Fanny S7ORCID,Dumont Etienne7,Perry Caroline R7,Gilchrist Kim87,Hossain Mohammad7,Mortimer Tatum D3,Anderson Roy M1,Gardiner David7

Affiliation:

1. Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

2. Division of Infectious Diseases, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, United States

3. Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, United States

4. Modelling and Economics Unit, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom

5. MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling and Health Economics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

6. Current affiliation: School of Life Sciences and Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, United Kingdom

7. GlaxoSmithKline, Collegeville, Pennsylvania, United States

8. Current affiliation: Pfizer, Inc, Pennsylvania, United States

Abstract

Background The first cases of extensively drug resistant gonorrhoea were recorded in the United Kingdom in 2018. There is a public health need for strategies on how to deploy existing and novel antibiotics to minimise the risk of resistance development. As rapid point-of-care tests (POCTs) to predict susceptibility are coming to clinical use, coupling the introduction of an antibiotic with diagnostics that can slow resistance emergence may offer a novel paradigm for maximising antibiotic benefits. Gepotidacin is a novel antibiotic with known resistance and resistance-predisposing mutations. In particular, a mutation that confers resistance to ciprofloxacin acts as the ‘stepping-stone’ mutation to gepotidacin resistance. Aim To investigate how POCTs detecting Neisseria gonorrhoeae resistance mutations for ciprofloxacin and gepotidacin can be used to minimise the risk of resistance development to gepotidacin. Methods We use individual-based stochastic simulations to formally investigate the aim. Results The level of testing needed to reduce the risk of resistance development depends on the mutation rate under treatment and the prevalence of stepping-stone mutations. A POCT is most effective if the mutation rate under antibiotic treatment is no more than two orders of magnitude above the mutation rate without treatment and the prevalence of stepping-stone mutations is 1–13%. Conclusion Mutation frequencies and rates should be considered when estimating the POCT usage required to reduce the risk of resistance development in a given population. Molecular POCTs for resistance mutations and stepping-stone mutations to resistance are likely to become important tools in antibiotic stewardship.

Publisher

European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

Subject

Virology,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Epidemiology

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