Affiliation:
1. South African DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA), Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, Republic of South Africa
2. London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
Abstract
For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10,000 a few weeks later.
Publisher
European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)
Subject
Virology,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Epidemiology
Cited by
53 articles.
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