Validation of an acute respiratory infection phenotyping algorithm to support robust computerised medical record-based respiratory sentinel surveillance, England, 2023

Author:

Elson William H1ORCID,Jamie Gavin1ORCID,Wimalaratna Rashmi1ORCID,Forbes Anna21ORCID,Leston Meredith1ORCID,Okusi Cecilia1ORCID,Byford Rachel1ORCID,Agrawal Utkarsh1ORCID,Todkill Dan3ORCID,Elliot Alex J3ORCID,Watson Conall4ORCID,Zambon Maria5ORCID,Morbey Roger3ORCID,Lopez Bernal Jamie4ORCID,Hobbs FD Richard1ORCID,de Lusignan Simon1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

2. Renal services, Epsom and St. Helier University Hospitals NHS Trust, London, United Kingdom

3. Real-time Syndromic Surveillance Team, United Kingdom Health Security Agency, Birmingham, United Kingdom

4. Immunisation and Vaccine-Preventable Diseases Division, United Kingdom Health Security Agency, London, United Kingdom

5. Reference Microbiology, United Kingdom Health Security Agency, London, United Kingdom

Abstract

Introduction Respiratory sentinel surveillance systems leveraging computerised medical records (CMR) use phenotyping algorithms to identify cases of interest, such as acute respiratory infection (ARI). The Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) is the English primary care-based sentinel surveillance network. Aim This study describes and validates the RSC’s new ARI phenotyping algorithm. Methods We developed the phenotyping algorithm using a framework aligned with international interoperability standards. We validated our algorithm by comparing ARI events identified during the 2022/23 influenza season in England through use of both old and new algorithms. We compared clinical codes commonly used for recording ARI. Results The new algorithm identified an additional 860,039 cases and excluded 52,258, resulting in a net increase of 807,781 cases (33.84%) of ARI compared to the old algorithm, with totals of 3,194,224 cases versus 2,386,443 cases. Of the 860,039 newly identified cases, the majority (63.7%) were due to identification of symptom codes suggestive of an ARI diagnosis not detected by the old algorithm. The 52,258 cases incorrectly identified by the old algorithm were due to inadvertent identification of chronic, recurrent, non-infectious and other non-ARI disease. Conclusion We developed a new ARI phenotyping algorithm that more accurately identifies cases of ARI from the CMR. This will benefit public health by providing more accurate surveillance reports to public health authorities. This new algorithm can serve as a blueprint for other CMR-based surveillance systems wishing to develop similar phenotyping algorithms.

Publisher

European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

Reference28 articles.

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