Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014

Author:

Nishiura H1,Chowell G23

Affiliation:

1. Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

2. School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, United States

3. Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States

Abstract

The effective reproduction number, Rt, of Ebola virus disease was estimated using country-specific data reported from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone to the World Health Organization from March to August, 2014. Rt for the three countries lies consistently above 1.0 since June 2014. Country-specific Rt for Liberia and Sierra Leone have lied between 1.0 and 2.0. Rt<2 indicate that control could be attained by preventing over half of the secondary transmissions per primary case.

Publisher

European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

Subject

Virology,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Epidemiology

Reference22 articles.

1. Baize S, Pannetier D, Oestereich L, Rieger T, Koivogui L, Magassouba N, et al. Emergence of Zaire Ebola Virus Disease in Guinea - Preliminary Report. N Engl J Med. 2014. Apr 16. Forthcoming.

2. World Health Organization (WHO). Ebola virus disease, West Africa – update on 27 July 2014. Geneva: WHO; 27 Jul 2014. [Accessed 23 Aug 2014]. Available from: http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_07_27_ebola/en/

3. World Health Organization (WHO). WHO Statement on the Meeting of the International Health Regulations Emergency Committee Regarding the 2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa. Geneva: WHO; 8 Aug 2014. [Accessed 10 Sep 2014]. Available from: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2014/ebola-20140808/en/

4. Genomic surveillance elucidates Ebola virus origin and transmission during the 2014 outbreak

5. World Health Organization (WHO). Ebola virus disease outbreak – West Africa. Geneva: WHO; 4 Sep 2014. [Accessed 10 Sep 2014]. Available from: http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_09_04_ebola/en/

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