Epidemiological and transmissibility analysis of influenza A(H1N1)v in a southern hemisphere setting: Peru-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Epidemiological and transmissibility analysis of influenza A(H1N1)v in a southern hemisphere setting: Peru

Published:2009-08-13 Issue:32 Volume:14 Page:
ISSN:1560-7917
Container-title:Eurosurveillance
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

Munayco C V¹,Gómez J¹,Laguna-Torres V A²,Arrasco J¹,Kochel T J²,Fiestas V³,Garcia J²,Perez J²,Torres I³,Condori F³,Nishiura H⁴,Chowell G⁵⁶

Affiliation:

1. Dirección General de Epidemiología, Peru Ministry of Health, Lima, Peru

2. United States Naval Medical Research Center Detachment, Lima, Peru

3. National Institute of Health, Lima, Peru

4. Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands

5. Division of Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States

6. Mathematical and Computational Modeling Science Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, United States

Abstract

We present a preliminary analysis of 1,771 confirmed cases of influenza A(H1N1)v reported in Peru by 17 July including the frequency of the clinical characteristics, the spatial and age distribution of the cases and the estimate of the transmission potential. Age-specific frequency of cases was highest among school age children and young adults, with the lowest frequency of cases among seniors, a pattern that is consistent with reports from other countries. Estimates of the reproduction number lie in the range of 1.2 to 1.7, which is broadly consistent with previous estimates for this pandemic in other regions. Validation of these estimates will be possible as additional data become available.

Publisher

European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

Subject

Virology,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Epidemiology

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