Seasonal and Time-Series Analysis of Alcohol Intoxication-Related Cases in Hyderabad, Pakistan

Abstract

Cases related to alcohol intoxication are important because they can help raise awareness about the dangers of excessive alcohol consumption and the need for responsible alcohol use. The present research studied the seasonal trend of alcohol intoxication-related cases in Hyderabad, Pakistan. Objective: To conduct seasonal and time series analysis of alcohol intoxication cases. Methods: Prospective study was conducted at Casualty Department, Liaquat University Hospital Hyderabad from January 2020 to December 2022. One hundred and eighty nine cases of alcohol intoxication-related cases were enrolled. Data was presented as frequency and averages of month-wise cases. Different plots i.e, seasonal index plot and time series plot were created to demonstrate the seasonal trend. Results: The largest number of cases were observed in April and December (n ≥ 25). The second most frequent cases occurred in months of June and November with 18 to 20 frequencies. The seasonal pattern was further illustrated by time-series analysis which showed that April and December had higher numbers of cases compared to other months. Conclusions: The study suggested a little decline in alcohol intoxication-related sufferer. These findings may highlight the importance to developed public awareness about the responsible use of alcohol.