OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF THE STATISTICAL VALUE AND CLIMATE ROLE OF GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC OSCILLATIONS

Abstract

Discovery of the global atmospheric and oceanic oscillations was regarded as an essential addition to the wide range of multi-scale processes characterizing the variability of the global climate system short-term dynamics. Interannual global atmospheric oscillation (GAO) was found during the study of a physical mechanism and indices of the well-known events of El Niño (Byshev et al., 2012.). The first report on the multi-decadal oscillation of the of the ocean upper active layer heat content (MOHO) was published in 2016 (Byshev et al., 2016 ). Subsequent heat content evolution studies of these intra-century processes in the atmosphere and in the ocean allowed to propose a new realistic approach to improvement a theory and methods of the modern climate variability evaluating (Byshev et al., 2017; Byshev et al., 2018; Serykh et al., 2019). The article provides a brief annotated review of the main publications devoted to the substantiation and analytical description of the basic concepts of short-period variability of the modern climate associated with the global effects of inter-annual atmospheric oscillation (GAO) and multi-decadal oscillation of the ocean upper active layer heat content of the world ocean (MOHO).