Risk factors of lethal outcomes of tuberculosis in a region with low population density (Kamchatskiy kray)

Author:

Gromov A. V.1ORCID,Sterlikov S. A.2ORCID,Mikhaylova Yu. V.3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Kamchatka Regional Clinical TB Dispensary

2. Russian Research Institute of Health; National Medical Research Center of Phthisiopulmonology and Infectious Diseases

3. Russian Research Institute of Health

Abstract

The objective: evidence-based study of the factors influencing tuberculosis mortality in the Kamchatskiy Kray as a territory withlow population density.Subjects and Methods. A retrospective cohort study of the unfavorable course of tuberculosis in 512 patients with tuberculosis (new cases and relapses) was carried out. A univariate and multivariate analysis of risk factors for a lethal outcome of tuberculosis was performed.Results. In a univariate analysis, the incidence of death from tuberculosis among increased in older patients (p < 0.0001), among the unemployed, pensioners and disabled (p = 0.02), homeless (p = 0.01), persons who failed to undergo fluorography for 2 years or more (p = 0.004), patients with a positive result of sputum smear test at registration (p = 0.003), and those suffering from alcoholism (p = 0.03), and decreased in patients who were actively detected (p < 0.0001 ). There was no influence on the probability of death from tuberculosis in the registration group by such parameters as new cases/relapses (p = 0.2), male/female (p = 0.09), urban/rural area of residence (p = 0.7), belonging to the indigenous population (p = 0.6), resistance to rifampicin (p = 1), cardiovascular diseases (p = 0.5), and smoking (p = 0.3). In multivariate analysis, an independent factor that reduced the risk of death was the active detection of tuberculosis patients (aOR = 0.2, p = 0.02).Conclusion. To reduce the risk of death from tuberculosis in an area with low population density (Kamchatskiy Kray), the priority should be given to improvement of active detection of tuberculosis cases; the proportion of tuberculosis patients detected during preventive screening should be used as an parameter of this improvement.

Publisher

LLC "Medical Knowledge and Technologies"

Subject

General Medicine

Reference23 articles.

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3. On Approval of the Russian Federation State Program onSocio-Economic Development of the Far Eastern Federal District. Decree no. 308 of the Russian Federation Government as of April 15, 2014. (In Russ.)

4. On Approval of the List of Constituent Entities of the Russian Federation and Certain Regions of the Russian Federation Belonging to Territories with Low or High Population Density. Order no. 707-R of the Russian Federation Government as of May 25, 2004. (In Russ.)

5. Puzyreva L.V., Mordyk A.V., Rudenko S.A., Rusanova N.N., AntropovaV.V. Impact of HIV infection and gender on the mortality in the patients of tuberculosis in-patient unit. Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases, 2017, vol. 95, no. 6, pp. 30-35. (In Russ.) doi 10.21292/2075-1230-2017-95-6-30-35.

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