Affiliation:
1. Division of Pediatric Surgery, UCSF Benioff Children’s Hospitals, and Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco
2. Division of Emergency Medicine, Children’s National Hospital, Washington, DC
3. Hiram C. Polk Jr Department of Surgery, Division of Pediatric Surgery, University of Louisville School of Medicine, and Norton Children’s Hospital, Louisville, Kentucky
Abstract
ImportanceExtreme weather has major implications for state and national health care systems; however, statistics examining weather-related injuries and fatalities are limited.ObjectiveTo examine the frequency and regional distribution of major disaster events (MDEs) in the US.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis ecologic cross-sectional study of MDEs occurring between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2021, evaluated US data on all injuries and fatalities included in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Centers for Environmental Information Storm Events Database. The data analysis was performed between February 22, 2023, and April 1, 2024.ExposuresMajor disaster events defined as an environmental event that caused either at least 50 injuries or at least 10 deaths.Main Outcomes and MeasuresAll MDEs were evaluated using descriptive statistics for event type, property damage, and rural or urban classification according to the National Centers for Health Statistics Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties. The location of events according to Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response (ASPR) region and hospital bed capacity of ASPR regions were also examined.ResultsBetween 2006 and 2021, 11 159 storm events caused 42 254 injuries and 9760 deaths. Major disaster events accounted for 209 weather events (1.9%) but caused 19 463 weather-associated injuries (46.1%) and 2189 weather-associated deaths (22.4%). The majority of MDEs were caused by extreme heat (86 [41.1%]) and tornadoes (67 [32.1%]). While a larger proportion of MDEs occurred in urban areas (151 [75.1%]) vs rural areas (50 [24.9%]), rural MDEs caused a median of 9 (IQR, 2-16) deaths per event vs 4 (IQR, 0-14) deaths per event in urban areas. The majority of MDEs occurred in either ASPR region 4 (51 [24.5%]) or region 9 (45 [21.6%]). Certain event types, such as fires, wind, and hurricanes or storms, were geographically concentrated, while extreme heat and floods affected regions across the US equally. Urban counties had disproportionately greater hospital bed capacity than rural counties relative to population and MDE distributions.Conclusions and RelevanceThe findings of this ecologic study indicate that while MDEs accounted for a small proportion of all weather events, they were associated with a disproportionate number of injuries and fatalities. Integrating these data into county, state, and regional hazard vulnerability analyses is crucial to ensuring preparedness and mitigating climate risk.
Publisher
American Medical Association (AMA)