Prediction of Life Quality Index Value Rankings of Countries After the COVID-19 Pandemic by Artificial Neural Networks

Author:

UÇUCU Ali1ORCID,GÖK Başak2ORCID,GÖKÇEN Hadi3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. OSTİM TEKNİK ÜNİVERSİTESİ, İKTİSADİ VE İDARİ BİLİMLER FAKÜLTESİ, YÖNETİM BİLİŞİM SİSTEMLERİ BÖLÜMÜ, YÖNETİM BİLİŞİM SİSTEMLERİ ANABİLİM DALI

2. GAZİ ÜNİVERSİTESİ, UYGULAMALI BİLİMLER FAKÜLTESİ

3. GAZİ ÜNİVERSİTESİ, MÜHENDİSLİK FAKÜLTESİ, ENDÜSTRİ MÜHENDİSLİĞİ BÖLÜMÜ, ENDÜSTRİ MÜHENDİSLİĞİ ANABİLİM DALI

Abstract

There are some indexes that affect the quality of life of countries. Economic crises, pandemics, natural events, etc. affect these indexes. The COVID-19 pandemic also had a direct impact on all these indexes. In this study, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the quality of life of countries was investigated. In this context, 29 different artificial neural networks were trained between 2012 and 2019 with the data of 29 countries in the European continent, consisting of a total of six indexes. The countries' quality of life indexes for 2020 were predicted and compared with the quality of life indexes realized in 2020. The study was evaluated according to the performance criteria R, R2, RMSE and MAPE in the range "very good, good, valid and invalid" and showed “very good” results. In this study, it was found that the country with the highest decrease in quality of life after the pandemic was Germany and the country with the highest increase was Bulgaria. In Turkey and Spain, the change in quality of life indexes was close to zero. In accordance with the results, evaluations were made and suggestions were made.

Publisher

Politeknik Dergisi

Subject

Colloid and Surface Chemistry,Physical and Theoretical Chemistry

Reference39 articles.

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2. [2] Atay, L., “Covid-19 Salgını ve Turizme Etkileri”, Seyahat ve Otel İşletmeciliği Dergisi, 17(1): 168-172, (2020).

3. [3] İbiş, S., “Covid-19 Salgınının Seyahat Acentaları Üzerine Etkisi”, Safran Kültür ve Turizm Araştırmaları Dergisi, 3(1): 85-98, (2020).

4. [4] Kahraman, M. E., “Covid-19 Salgınının Kültür ve Sanat Organizasyonlarına Etkisi”, Yıldız Journal of Art and Design, 7(1): 84-99, (2020).

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