ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF PUBLIC DEBT ON THE FINANCIAL SECURITY OF THE COUNTRY

Author:

Brezhnieva-Yermolenko OlhaORCID,Kharitonenko Albina

Abstract

The article reviewed current trends in the field of external debt, which further exacerbate the problems in the political, economic, financial and monetary spheres of the economy. This is primarily due to the inefficient system of public debt management and leads to exceeding the threshold values ​​of debt security. It was found that the amount of debt in the context of financial security of a country should first be studied in relation to GDP, what fully reflects the real economic situation in the country under the influence of inflation. The share of public debt in recent years has exceeded 60 % of GDP, which requires the government to take measures that would limit the possibility of borrowing in order to reduce public and state-guaranteed debt. Observations of the structure of Ukraine's public debt for the period 2011-2020 show the predominance of external debt and the gradual growth of its share. The peak of the level of public debt of Ukraine beyond the border falls on the period 2014-2017, but as of 2020 this figure was 60.8 %.Ukraine's public debt ratio is estimated in terms of currency structure, which shows that the major's share of debt in 2020 is denominated 46.22 % in US dollars. The threat to financial security for Ukraine remains high, as exchange rate volatility increases the repayment of principal and interest on debt.The analysis of public debt over the past 10 years shows the intensification of threats and risks to financial security by international financial institutions through external lending, as well as the high level of Ukraine's debt to external and domestic creditors. The study of indicators as indicators of financial security over the past 5 years shows the insufficient level of budget security of the country and the presence of internal and external threats to financial security of Ukraine.It is determined that the government's urgent task is to optimize the sources of public debt financing together with the development of clear and transparent rules of debt policy for the assessment of debt security indicators and financial risk management. The result of such changes is expected to reduce the amount of credit borrowing and a positive impact on the level of financial security of the state.

Publisher

Dniprovsk State Technical University

Subject

Applied Mathematics

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