Decision support system to evaluate a vandalized and deteriorated oil pipeline transportation system using artificial intelligence techniques. Part 2: analysis of the operational and economic risk

Author:

Cid-Galiot Jonathan Josue1,Aguilar-Lasserre Alberto Alfonso2,Pastor Rodríguez-Jarquín José2,Badillo-Márquez Alina Evelyn2,Adam-Medina Manuel3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Mechanical Metal Engineering , Technological University of the Center of Veracruz , Av. University Num. 350, Federal Highway Cuitláhuac-La Tinaja, Locality Dos Caminos , Cuitláhuac , VER , 94910 , Mexico

2. Graduate Studies and Research Division , Orizaba Technological Institute , Oriente 9 Num. 852, Col. Emiliano Zapata , Orizaba , VER , 94320 , Mexico

3. National Center for Research and Technological Development , Cenidet, Internado palmira s/n, Col. Palmira , Cuernavaca , MOR , 62490 , Mexico

Abstract

Abstract The changing supply and demand of hydrocarbons in recent years, generated by inflation, pandemics, and wars, have impacted its price considerably, developing limitations in maintenance processes in the oil industry worldwide; however, the mechanical deterioration of facilities due to corrosion does not stop. This article contributes original to the knowledge and management of a pipeline transportation system (PTS) without an immediate high impact that would help reduce property loss due to corrosion through the development of intelligent evaluation models that combine field data, laboratory, and cognitive knowledge in a case study in Mexico. The research is divided into Part 1 (Modeling; https://doi.org/10.1515/corrrev-2021-0080) and Part 2 (Operational and economic risk analysis of PTS under corrosive effects, using Monte Carlo simulation, MCS), supported by information and knowledge of 564 km of soils, from cathodic protection studies, essential to determine corrosive profiles of the PTS, considering supply and demand effects, with 1095 data on the price of the Mexican mixture from 2016 to 2019, as well as data monthly inflation rates for the same period, to generate financial estimates representative of the system, in search of replicable exchange actions and practices in international fields.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

General Materials Science,General Chemical Engineering,General Chemistry

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3