Introduction of Energy and Climate Mitigation Policy Issues in Energy - Environment Model of Latvia

Author:

Klavs G.1,Rekis J.1

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Physical Energetics, 11 Krivu Street, Riga, LV-1006, Latvia

Abstract

Abstract The present research is aimed at contributing to the Latvian national climate policy development by projecting total GHG emissions up to 2030, by evaluating the GHG emission reduction path in the non-ETS sector at different targets set for emissions reduction and by evaluating the obtained results within the context of the obligations defined by the EU 2030 policy framework for climate and energy. The method used in the research was bottom-up, linear programming optimisation model MARKAL code adapted as the MARKAL-Latvia model with improvements for perfecting the integrated assessment of climate policy. The modelling results in the baseline scenario, reflecting national economic development forecasts and comprising the existing GHG emissions reduction policies and measures, show that in 2030 emissions will increase by 19.1 % compared to 2005. GHG emissions stabilisation and reduction in 2030, compared to 2005, were researched in respective alternative scenarios. Detailed modelling and analysis of the Latvian situation according to the scenario of non-ETS sector GHG emissions stabilisation and reduction in 2030 compared to 2005 have revealed that to implement a cost effective strategy of GHG emissions reduction first of all a policy should be developed that ensures effective absorption of the available energy efficiency potential in all consumer sectors. The next group of emissions reduction measures includes all non-ETS sectors (industry, services, agriculture, transport, and waste management).

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy,General Engineering

Reference7 articles.

1. 1. Country Factsheet Latvia. (2015). Commission staff working document. Brussels, SWD 230 final.

2. 2. Fishbone, L.G., and Abilock H. (1982). MARKAL, a linear programming model for energy systems analysis: Technical description of the BNL version. International Journal of Energy Research, 5(4), 353–375.

3. 3. Loulou, R., Goldstein, G., and Noble, K. (2004). Documentation for the MARKAL family of models. Energy technology systems analysis programme. Available at http://www.iea-etsap.org/web/MrklDoc-I_StdMARKAL.pdf.

4. 4. Klavs, G., Kudrenickis, I., and Rekis, J. (2015). Development of Latvia greenhouse gas reduction policy: Modelling and analysis. In Proceedings of 5th International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM (pp. 921–932), ISBN 978-619-7105-38-4 / ISSN 1314-2704

5. 5. Klavs, G., Kudrenickis, I., and Rekis J. (2015). Bio fuel contribution in meeting renewable energy and climate policy targets in Latvia. In Proceedings of Conference “Engineering for Rural Development” (pp. 490–496), ISSN 1691-5976

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