Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures – Magic Wand or Tiger by the Tail?

Author:

Belke Ansgar1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen, IZA Bonn and Monetary Experts Panel European Parliament, Universitätsstraße 12, 45117 Essen, Tel.: +49 201 183-2277, Fax: +49 201 183-4181

Abstract

Abstract This paper briefly assesses the effectiveness of the different non-standard monetary policy tools in the Euro Area. Its main focus is on the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) Programme which is praised by some as the ECB’s “magic wand”. Moreover, it discloses further possible unintended consequences of these measures in the current context of weak economic activity and subdued growth going forward. For this purpose, it investigates specific risks for price stability and asset price developments in the first main part of the paper. It is not a too remote issue that the Fed does have a “tiger by the tail”, as Hayek (2009) expressed it, i. e. that the bank will finally have to accept either a recession or inflation and that there is no choice in between. Furthermore, it checks on whether the OMT programme really does not impose costs onto the taxpayer. Finally, it comes up with some policy implications from differences in money and credit growth in different individual countries of the Euro Area. The second main part of the paper assesses which other tools the ECB could use in order to stimulate the economy in the Euro Area. It does so by delivering details on whether and how the effectiveness of the ECB’s policies can be improved through more transparency and “forward guidance”.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

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