A new hybrid risk assessment process for cyber security design of smart grids using fuzzy analytic hierarchy processes

Abstract

Abstract IT vulnerabilities, cyber threats, and resulting risks significantly impact the stability of current and future power grids. The results of a Risk Assessment process contribute to a better understanding of the causes and nature of the associated risks. The risks assessed by experts are available in both numerical and linguistic representations – this makes it beneficial to include a combination of linguistic and numerical analyses. In this paper, we propose a new Hybrid Risk Assessment method based on fuzzy logic, leading to more precise results. The presented approach specifies the variables and membership functions of fuzzy logic with reference to Smart Grids. For this propose, a case study with five risk events in a small-scale Smart Grid is carried out as an example. The results can then support decision-makers in ensuring grid stability.