Foul accumulation in the NBA

Author:

Chu Dani1,Swartz Tim B.1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science , Simon Fraser University , Burnaby , BC , V5A1S6, Canada

Abstract

Abstract This paper investigates the fouling time distribution of players in the National Basketball Association. A Bayesian analysis is presented based on the assumption that fouling time distributions follow a gamma distribution. Various insights are obtained including the observation that players accumulate fouls at a rate that increases with the current number of fouls. We demonstrate possible ways to incorporate the fouling time distributions to provide decision support to coaches in the management of playing time.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Decision Sciences (miscellaneous),Social Sciences (miscellaneous)

Reference18 articles.

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3. D’Agostino, R. B., and M. A. Stephens. 1986. Goodness-of-Fit Techniques. New York: Marcel Dekker.

4. Davis, N., and M. Lopez. 2015. “NHL Coaches are Pulling Goalies Earlier Than Ever.” FiveThirtyEight. Also available at. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/nhl-coaches-are-pulling-goalies-earlier-than-ever/ (accessed September 20, 2019).

5. Evans, K., and U. Saini. 2019. “Eight Thirty Four.” Also available at. https://eightthirtyfour.com/data (accessed November 11, 2019).

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