Civil Conflicts, Economic Shocks and Night-time Lights-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Civil Conflicts, Economic Shocks and Night-time Lights

Published:2015-12-01 Issue:4 Volume:21 Page:433-444
ISSN:1554-8597
Container-title:Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy
language:
Short-container-title:

Author:

Ahrens Achim¹

Affiliation:

1. 1Centre for Energy Economics Research and Policy (CEERP) – Institute for Petroleum Engineering, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, UK

Abstract

AbstractThis study focuses on the effect of economic growth shocks on the risk of civil conflict outbreak in Africa. The data set covers African first-order administrative units and the time period 1992–2010. Since sub-national GDP is not available for Africa, night-time light data from satellites is used to predict economic growth. Economic growth is then instrumented with rainfall and temperature variables in order to identify the causal effect of economic growth on conflict risk. Furthermore, a spatial autoregressive panel model is estimated to examine the role of spill-over effects. Estimation results suggest strong spill-over effects, but provide no evidence for a significant effect of economic growth on civil conflict.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law,Political Science and International Relations,Economics and Econometrics,Sociology and Political Science

Link

https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/peps-2015-0013/pdf

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