Evaluation on power marketing decision evaluation based on Bayesian network

Abstract

Abstract The daily production and life of human beings are inseparable from electricity. As the power supplier, electric power enterprises provide power demand for the majority of users. In the new era, electric power enterprises are also facing market-oriented reform. The focus of reform is electric power marketing. The formulation of electric power marketing strategy needs scientific decision-making analysis as guidance. With the increase of power demand, the scale of power grid is also expanding continuously. With the introduction of new energy equipment, the power system is becoming more and more complex, and it is difficult for relevant staff to effectively monitor and analyze the system. Combined with the above situation, this paper combined Bayesian network to build a power marketing decision analysis system, and combined Bayesian algorithm to test the power marketing real-time cost control system. The experimental results showed that the average judgment accuracy was 91.90 %, and the average warning time was 0.39 s. From the above data, it can be seen that this algorithm can play a good optimization effect on the performance of the system. In this paper, the elasticity test of the power system was also carried out from the aspect of wind speed, and the results showed that the maximum elasticity value can reach 0.94. It can be seen that the elasticity effect of the power system is good as a whole under different wind speeds.