Recovery from the COVID-19 Recession: Uneven Effects among Young Workers?

Author:

Chatterji Pinka1,Li Yue1

Affiliation:

1. University at Albany , Albany , USA

Abstract

Abstract In this paper, we examine the labor market recovery from the COVID-19 recession and test for effects of termination of pandemic unemployment insurance programs among 15–24-year-olds. We use data from the January 2016–October 2022 Current Population Survey. Using regression-based methods, we show that while 15–19-year-olds experienced a brisk, full recovery in labor market outcomes from the COVID-19 recession, the recovery was sluggish and incomplete among 20–24-year-olds, with some work outcomes lagging below pre-pandemic norms well into 2022. Termination of pandemic UI programs led to increased work hours and full-time employment among 20–24-year-olds but did not have these effects among 15–19-year-olds.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous),Economics and Econometrics

Reference38 articles.

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3. Alon, T. M., S. Coskun, M. Doepke, D. Koll, and M. Tertlit. 2021. “From Mancession to Shecession: Women’s Employment in Regular and Pandemic Recessions.” In NBER Macroeconomics Annual, Vol. 36, edited by M. Eichenbaum, and E. Hurst. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press Series: Macroeconomics Annual.

4. Altonji, J., Z. Contractor, L. Finamor, R. Haygood, I. Lindenlaub, C. Meghir, C. O’Dea, D. Scott, L. Wang, and E. Washington. 2020. Employment Effects of Unemployment Insurance Generosity during the Pandemic. https://tobin.yale.edu/sites/default/files/files/C-19%20Articles/CARES-UI_identification_vF%281%29.pdf (accessed December 19, 2022).

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