The Myth of the Bipartisan National Popular Vote Plan

Author:

Evans Jillian1,Gaines Brian J.2

Affiliation:

1. Research Associate, Institute for Public Policy and Social Research at Michigan State University , East Lansing, MI , USA

2. Professor, University of Illinois , Chicago, IL , USA

Abstract

Abstract Advocates of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) promise that it can deliver plurality electoral rule (“first past the post”) for presidential elections, at the national level, without amending the Constitution or abolishing the Electoral College. They also contend that the plan has seen bipartisan support and will pass on the strength of such cross-party attraction. In fact, the NPVIC remains a polarizing scheme, strongly appealing to most Democrats and strongly repellant to most Republicans. In turn, it is extremely unlikely that sufficiently many states will join the Compact for it to reach the next stage of legal testing.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

General Social Sciences,Sociology and Political Science

Reference15 articles.

1. All details for bills and roll calls were obtained from relevant official sources, including state legislative websites and manuals. The NCSL 2011–2018 Elections Legislation Database was consulted to identify states where NPV legislation has been introduced (http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/elections-legislation-database.aspx).

2. Bugh, Gary ed. 2009. Electoral College Reform: Challenges and Possibilities. Farnham, UK: Ashgate.

3. Carter, David B., and Curtis S. Signorino. 2010. “Back to the Future: Modeling Time Dependence in Binary Data.” Political Analysis 18 (3): 271–292.

4. DeWitt, Darin, and Thomas Schwartz. 2016a. “A Calamitous Compact.” PS: Political Science and Politics 49 (4): 791–796.

5. DeWitt, Darin, and Thomas Schwartz. 2016b. “Contra Koza.” PS: Political Science and Politics 49 (4): 805–806.

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