Hedging the Risk of Wind Power Production Using Dispatchable Energy Source

Author:

D’Amico Guglielmo1ORCID,Di Basilio Bice1,Petroni Filippo2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics , University “G. D’Annunzio” of Chieti-Pescara , 65127 Pescara , Italy

2. Department of Management , Marche Polytechnic University , 60121 Ancona , Italy

Abstract

Abstract In this paper we advance a nonlinear optimization problem for hedging wind power variability by using a dispatchable energy source (DES) like gas. The model considers several important aspects such as modeling of wind power production, electricity price, nonlinear penalization scheme for energy underproduction and interrelations among the considered variables. Results are given in terms of optimal co-generation policy with DES. The optimal policy is interpreted and analyzed in different penalization scenarios and related to a 48 MW hypothetical wind park. The model is suitable for integration of wind energy especially for isolated grids. Some probabilistic results for special moments of a Log-Normal distribution are obtained; they are necessary for the evolution of the optimal policy.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Discrete Mathematics and Combinatorics,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality,Statistics and Probability

Reference16 articles.

1. G. D’Amico, F. Petroni and F. Prattico, Wind speed prediction for wind farm applications by extreme value theory and copulas, J. Wind Eng. Indus. Aerodynamics 145 (2015), 229–336.

2. G. D’Amico, F. Petroni and F. Prattico, Insuring wind energy production, Phys. A 467 (2017), 542–553.

3. G. D’Amico, F. Petroni and R. A. Sobolewski, Optimal control of a dispatchable energy source for wind energy management, Stoch. Qual. Control 34 (2019), no. 1, 19–34.

4. A. Bello, D. Bunn, J. Reneses, Javier and A. Muñoz, Parametric density recalibration of a fundamental market model to forecast electricity prices, Energies 9 (2016), no. 11, 959–959.

5. M. Bidwell, Reliability options: A market-oriented approach to long-term adequacy, Electr. J. 18 (2005), no. 5, 11–25.

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