Hickam’s dictum, Occam’s razor, and Crabtree’s bludgeon: a case of renal failure and a clavicular mass

Abstract

Abstract Objectives Our discussant’s thoughtful consideration of the patient’s case allows for review of three maxims of medicine: Occam’s razor (the simplest diagnosis is the most likely to be correct), Hickam’s dictum (multiple disease entities are more likely than one), and Crabtree’s bludgeon (the tendency to make data fit to an explanation we hold dear). Case presentation A 66-year-old woman with a history of hypertension presented to our hospital one day after arrival to the United States from Guinea with chronic daily vomiting, unintentional weight loss and progressive shoulder pain. Her labs are notable for renal failure, nephrotic range proteinuria and normocytic anemia while her shoulder X-ray shows osseous resorption in the lateral right clavicle. Multiple myeloma became the team’s working diagnosis; however, a subsequent shoulder biopsy was consistent with follicular thyroid carcinoma. Imaging suggested the patient’s renal failure was more likely a result of a chronic, unrelated process. Conclusions It is tempting to bludgeon diagnostic possibilities into Occam’s razor. Presumption that a patient’s signs and symptoms are connected by one disease process often puts us at a cognitive advantage. However, atypical presentations, multiple disease processes, and unique populations often lend themselves more to Hickam’s dictum than to Occam’s razor. Diagnostic aids include performing a metacognitive checklist, engaging analytic thinking, and acknowledging the imperfections of these axioms.