Promoting low carbon construction using alkali-activated materials: A modeling study for strength prediction and feature interaction

Abstract

Abstract In place of Portland cement concrete, alkali-activated materials (AAMs) are becoming more popular because of their widespread use and low environmental effects. Unfortunately, reliable property predictions have been impeded by the restrictions of conventional materials science methods and the large compositional variability of AAMs. A support vector machine (SVM), a bagging regressor (BR), and a random forest regressor (RFR) were among the machine learning models developed in this study to assess the compressive strength (CS) of AAMs in an effort to gain an answer to this topic. Improving predictions in this crucial area was the goal of this study, which used a large dataset with 381 points and eight input factors. Also, the relevance of contributing components was assessed using a shapley additive explanations (SHAP) approach. In terms of predicting AAMs CS, RFR outperformed BR and SVM. Compared to the RFR model’s 0.96 R 2, the SVM and BR models’ R 2-values were 0.89 and 0.93, respectively. In addition, the RFR model’s greater accuracy was indicated by an average absolute error value of 4.08 MPa compared to the SVM’s 6.80 MPa and the BR’s 5.83 MPa, which provided further proof of their validity. According to the outcomes of the SHAP research, the two factors that contributed the most beneficially to the strength were aggregate volumetric ratio and reactivity. The factors that contributed the most negatively were specific surface area, silicate modulus, and sodium hydroxide concentration. Using the produced models to find the CS of AAMs for various input parameter values can help cut down on costly and time-consuming laboratory testing. In order to find the best amounts of raw materials for AAMs, academics and industries could find this SHAP study useful.