Analyzing the impact of container shipping service reliability on global supply chain pressure: An asymmetric approach

Abstract

Delays in international trade negatively affect the global world economically, commercially, and politically. We aimed to empirically determine the asymmetrical effect of the delays experienced in the arrival of container shipping vessels to their destinations on the pressure on the global supply chain by using Global Schedule Reliability (GSR) and Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI). The dataset covers the period between January 2017 and April 2023 and consists of 76 observations. The results show that the effect of delays on the supply chain is asymmetrical, while the increase in delays increases the pressure, the decrease in delays has no effect. This shows that the effects of delays on the supply chain are sticky and take a long time to clear from the system. In this direction, policies are recommended to minimize the effect of delays on international trade.