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Modeling Probability Forecasts via Information Diversity

  • Published:2016-10-01 Issue:516 Volume:111 Page:1623-1633
  • ISSN:0162-1459
  • Container-title:Journal of the American Statistical Association
  • language:en
  • Short-container-title:Journal of the American Statistical Association

Author:

Satopää Ville A.12,Pemantle Robin32,Ungar Lyle H.42

Affiliation:

1. Department of Technology and Operations Management, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France

2. The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA

3. Department of Mathematics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA

4. Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Publisher

Informa UK Limited

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Statistics and Probability

Cited by 42 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Coherent distributions on the square–extreme points and asymptotics;Journal of Applied Probability;2024-04-05

2. Contradictory predictions with multiple agents;Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical Statistics;2024

3. Bayesian herd detection for dynamic data;International Journal of Forecasting;2024-01

4. Using cross-domain expertise to aggregate forecasts when within-domain expertise is unknown.;Decision;2024-01

5. The Wisdom of Strategically Diverse Crowds;2024
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