Modeling HIV Epidemic under Contact Tracing — The Cuban Case

Author:

De Arazoza H.1,Lounes R.2,Hoang T.2,Interian Y.1

Affiliation:

1. Departamento Ecuaciones Diferenciales, Facultad Mat-Comp, Universidad de la Habana, San Lázaro y L Habana 4, Cuba

2. Université René Descartes, Laboratoire de Statistique Médicale, UPRES A CNRS 8071, 45 rue des Sants-Pères 75006 Paris, France

Abstract

A nonlinear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. A linear version of the model is presented in both deterministic and stochastic versions. We present the data for the cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the linear model to the data, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidemic.

Funder

Fondation pour la Recherche Métdicale

Publisher

Hindawi Limited

Subject

General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology

Cited by 10 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Mathematical modeling of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Cuba;International Journal of Biomathematics;2015-06-22

2. Predicting the HIV/AIDS epidemic and measuring the effect of mobility in mainland China;Journal of Theoretical Biology;2013-01

3. Modeling spread of HIV as a result of social maladjustment;Automation and Remote Control;2012-12

4. Modeling secondary level of HIV contact tracing: its impact on HIV intervention in Cuba;BMC Infectious Diseases;2010-07-01

5. Deterministic Modeling of the Size of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic in Cuba;Mathematical Methods in Survival Analysis, Reliability and Quality of Life;2010-01-27

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