Predicting rainy seasons: quantifying the beliefs of prophets
Author:
Publisher
Informa UK Limited
Subject
Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Statistics and Probability
Link
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/10256018808623883
Reference8 articles.
1. An approach to the application of subjective probabilities in level 2 PSAs
2. A generalized probability density function for double-bounded random processes
3. Measurement Errors in Probability Judgments
4. Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities
5. Pennesi, K. 2007. “The predicament of prediction: rain prophets and meteorologists in northeast Brazil”. Tucson: University of Arizona. Ph.D. dissertation
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