Failure and Success in Political Polling and Election Forecasting-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Failure and Success in Political Polling and Election Forecasting

Published:2021-01-01 Issue:1 Volume:8 Page:67-72
ISSN:2330-443X
Container-title:Statistics and Public Policy
language:en
Short-container-title:Statistics and Public Policy

Author:

Gelman Andrew¹^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York, NY

Publisher

Informa UK Limited

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Public Administration,Statistics and Probability

Link

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/2330443X.2021.1971126

Reference32 articles.

1. Brenan, M. (2020), “Support for Legal Marijuana Inches up to New High of 68%,” Gallup, https://news.gallup.com/poll/323582/support-legal-marijuana-inches-new-high.aspx

2. Cohn, N. (1998), “What the Polls Got Right This Year, and Where They Went Wrong,” New York Times. Available at https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/21/upshot/polls-2018-midterms-accuracy.html

3. Cox, D. (2020), “Could Social Alienation Among Some Trump Supporters Help Explain Why Polls Underestimated Trump Again?” Available at https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/could-social-alienation-among-some-trump-supporters-help-explain-why-polls-underestimated-trump-again/

4. Predicting State Presidential Election Results Using National Tracking Polls and Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP)

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