Information Dynamics and Macro Fluctuations

Author:

Chousakos Kyriakos1,Gorton Gary2,Ordoñez Guillermo3

Affiliation:

1. Bank of America (email: )

2. Yale University and NBER (email: )

3. University of Pennsylvania and NBER (email: )

Abstract

The amount of information produced about firms’ productivities and about the quality of collateral backing their loans varies over time. These information dynamics determine the evolution of credit, output and productivity, which feeds back into incentives to produce information. We characterize this intricate dynamic relation. A credit boom happens when information about collateral depreciates. A financial crisis happens when information about collateral is suddenly generated. Information about firms’ individual productivities over credit booms can prevent or tame the crisis, acting as an endogenous macroprudential force. (JEL D24, D83, E32, E44, G01, G32)

Publisher

American Economic Association

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Reference22 articles.

1. Collateral Booms and Information Depletion

2. Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis

3. Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence

4. Chousakos, Kyriakos, Gary Gorton, and Guillermo Ordoñez. 2018. "Global Information Spillovers." In Monetary Policy and Global Spillovers Volume 25, edited by Ernesto Pastén, Enrique Mendoza, and Diego Saravia, 137-81.

5. The Information View of Financial Crises

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