The Fall of Coal: Joint Impacts of Fuel Prices and Renewables on Generation and Emissions

Author:

Fell Harrison1,Kaffine Daniel T.2

Affiliation:

1. Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, North Carolina State University, 2801 Founders Drive, Raleigh, NC 27695 (email: )

2. Department of Economics, University of Colorado Boulder, 256 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309 (email: )

Abstract

Since 2007, US coal-fired electricity generation has declined by a stunning 25 percent. Detailed daily unit-level data is used to examine the joint impact of natural gas prices and wind generation on coal-fired generation and emissions, with a focus on the interaction between gas prices and wind. This interaction is found to be significant. Marginal responses of coal-fired generation to natural gas prices (wind) in 2013 were larger, sometimes much larger, than the counterfactual with 2008 wind generation (gas prices). Additionally, these factors jointly account for the vast majority of the observed decline in generation and emissions. (JEL L94, L95, Q35, Q38, Q42, Q53)

Publisher

American Economic Association

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

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