Bayesian Persuasion

Author:

Kamenica Emir1,Gentzkow Matthew2

Affiliation:

1. University of Chicago Booth School of Business, 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue, Office 518, Chicago, IL 60637.

2. University of Chicago Booth School of Business, 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue, Office 514, Chicago, IL 60637.

Abstract

When is it possible for one person to persuade another to change her action? We consider a symmetric information model where a sender chooses a signal to reveal to a receiver, who then takes a noncontractible action that affects the welfare of both players. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a signal that strictly benefits the sender. We characterize sender-optimal signals. We examine comparative statics with respect to the alignment of the sender's and the receiver's preferences. Finally, we apply our results to persuasion by litigators, lobbyists, and salespeople. (JEL D72, D82, D83, K40, M31)

Publisher

American Economic Association

Subject

Economics and Econometrics

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