Innovation-Led Transitions in Energy Supply

Author:

Lemoine Derek1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics, University of Arizona, NBER, and CEPR (email: )

Abstract

Generalizing models of directed technical change, I show that complementarities between innovations and factors of production (here, energy resources) can drive transitions away from a dominant sector. In a calibrated numerical implementation, the economy gradually transitions energy supply from coal to gas and then to renewable energy, even in the absence of policy. The welfare-maximizing tax on carbon emissions is J-shaped, immediately redirects most research to renewables, and rapidly transitions energy supply directly to renewables. The emission tax is twice as valuable as either the welfare-maximizing research subsidy or the welfare-maximizing mandate to use renewable resources. (JEL H23, O31, O33, Q35, Q41, Q54)

Publisher

American Economic Association

Subject

General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Reference62 articles.

1. Directed Technical Change

2. Equilibrium Bias of Technology

3. Acemoglu, Daron, Philippe Aghion, Lint Barrage, and David Hémous. 2019. "Climate Change, Directed Innovation, and Energy Transition: The Long-Run Consequences of the Shale Gas Revolution." Unpublished.

4. The Environment and Directed Technical Change

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