1. Department of Economics, Brown University, 64 Waterman Street, Providence, RI 02912 (email: )
2. University of Paris-Saclay, 54 Boulevard Desgranges, 92330 Sceaux, France, and CEPR (email: )
3. Department of Economics, Yale University, 28 Hillhouse Avenue, New Haven, CT 06511, and NBER (email: )