1. New York University, Department of Finance, Stern School of Business, New York University, 44 West Fourth Street, Room 9-84, New York, NY 10012 and Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
2. INSEAD, Boulevard de Constance, Fontainebleau 77305, France and CEPR.
3. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045.