Age prediction using fundus parameters of normal eyes from the Kumejima population study

Abstract

Abstract Purpose Artificial intelligence can predict the age of an individual using color fundus photographs (CFPs). This study aimed to investigate the accuracy of age prediction in the Kumejima study using fundus parameters and to clarify age-related changes in the fundus. Methods We used nonmydriatic CFPs obtained from the Kumejima population study, including 1,646 right eyes of healthy participants with reliable fundus parameter measurements. The tessellation fundus index was calculated as R/(R + G + B) using the mean value of the red–green–blue intensity in eight locations around the optic disc and foveal region. The optic disc ovality ratio, papillomacular angle, and retinal vessel angle were quantified as previously described. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression with leave-one-out cross-validation was used to predict age. The relationship between the actual and predicted ages was investigated using Pearson’s correlation coefficient. Results The mean age of included participants (834 males and 812 females) was 53.4 ± 10.1 years. The mean predicted age based on fundus parameters was 53.4 ± 8.9 years, with a mean absolute error of 3.64 years, and the correlation coefficient between actual and predicted age was 0.88 (p < 0.001). Older patients had greater red and green intensities and weaker blue intensities in the peripapillary area (p < 0.001). Conclusions Age could be predicted using the CFP parameters, and there were notable age-related changes in the peripapillary color intensity. The age-related changes in the fundus may aid the understanding of the mechanism of fundus diseases such as age-related macular degeneration.